Q-Day Consensus Estimate
Weighted average of CISA, NSA, Mosca GlobalRisk, ENISA estimates
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Total Milestones
—
in database (2019–2026)
High-Impact (≥5)
—
cryptographic relevance ≥5/10
Best Logical Qubits
~100
of 4,000 needed (2.5%)
12-Month Trend
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Logical Qubit Progress to RSA-2048 Threshold
~100 demonstrated / 4,000 required for Shor's algorithm at RSA-2048
2.5%
1 LQ
2021
12 LQ
2024
100 LQ ←
NOW
1,000 LQ
~2028?
4,000 LQ
Q-Day
Recent High-Impact Milestones
Sorted by date desc · Cryptographic relevance ≥4| Date | Vendor / Lab | Milestone | Type | LQ | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Consensus Estimate Sources
Official body and expert inputs to weighted consensus
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Vendor Roadmap Tracker
Announced targets vs current status
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Live API Endpoints
All endpoints open in dev mode — no auth required